Archive for August, 2008

Forex Is Chic?

Saturday, August 30th, 2008

Here’s one trader’s perspective of what big banks will mean to Forex.

I actually think the development of the big banks coming to Forex is a good thing. They delayed their entry for years because of the "reputational risk" that exists when average joe trader does not like a fill or Trusting Joe lets Shady Jim blow, I mean manage his Forex account, and post nasty things about the dealer.  The good thing is that their entry makes Forex chic to a huge number of people who did not know about forex or who were sitting on the fence. Their marketing budgets are much deeper than that of the large FCMs. With more traders coming on board, the clout of retail trading will just get much bigger than the 10% of the daily turnover that we currently represent. I think a thing or two should be said about the "smart money" that is already part of the system. The logic is: smart money -> more operational sophistication -> more safety for investors. Of course, money alone will not be sufficient to make Forex free of Refco-like implosions, but it will make it less likely. Several very well funded private equity firms are equity partners of multiple Forex dealers: Gain Capital: 3i, VantagePoint, Tudor Ventures, Edison Venture Fund, Cross Atlantic Capital Partners, and Blue Rock Capital; FX Solutions: Francisco Partners; Interbank FX: Spectrum Capital; Oanda, GFT, the list goes on. . . most FCMs with $10m or more in adjusted net capital today have private equity money helping them to compete with the likes of DB and Citi. I think it makes it very interesting for all of us going forward.

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Saturday, August 30th, 2008

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European Market Update: Euro-Zone CPI estimate cools from recent high

Saturday, August 30th, 2008

Dexia [DX.FR] reported Q2 net income of #8364;532M, down from #8364;787M a year ago, noting a tier 1 ratio of 11.4% at the end of June. Dexia noted that 2H will be marked by volatility and uncertainty. Dexia added that FSA provisions had……

Asian Market Update: Oil rises, USD falls on reports that Russia will cut off oil flow to West

Saturday, August 30th, 2008

Oil prices moved higher after The Telegraph newspaper reported that Russia may cut off oil flow to Western Europe over the coming days, in response to the threat of E.U. sanctions and NATO naval actions in the Black Sea……

GFT: Daily Market Commentary

Saturday, August 30th, 2008

On a night when currencies spent most of the Asian and European sessions meandering aimlesslyin thin pre-holiday trade yen showed consistent strength buoyed by better than expected economic data and an announcement by……

Halo Financial - Daily Currency Insight

Saturday, August 30th, 2008

Sterling fell to its weakest level in 12 years on a trade weighted basis yesterday. This prompted warnings from Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee member, David Blanchflower that his interest rate setting colleagues……

BFI: Currency market commentary

Saturday, August 30th, 2008

EURUSD: For today we expect the rate to trade inside the range 1,4710-1,4800. If 1,4710 is broken, fall to 1,4650/60 is possible. Above the upper limit we may witness gains to 1,4870….

DAILY FOREX AND DOW JONES RECOMMENDED LEVELS

Saturday, August 30th, 2008

EUR/USD: Today#8217;s support: - 1.4670, 1.4647, 1.4625 and 1.4600 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.4584, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.4568. Break of the latter would result in 1.4545….

US Market Update

Saturday, August 30th, 2008

Markets opened higher for a second day in a row, boosted by the strong preliminary GDP numbers and a move lower in energy prices. The GDP reading showed the US economy grew more than expected in the second quarter……

GFT: Daily Market Commentary

Saturday, August 30th, 2008

EURUSD raced all the way to 1.4800 in early Asia trade on reputed buying from sovereign names, but the move ran out of gas at the figure and the pair retreated to 1.4750 after comments by UAE Central Bank Giovernor suggested……